Monday, July 6, 2015

Referendum on the Deck of the Titanic

The passengers of the Titanic have decided in a referendum, that there is no iceberg on the way. Full steam ahead.

Sunday, July 5, 2015

Welcome to Greece !

  • A country, which considers itself a birthplace of democracy - but is not able to create a functional state.
  • A country in a permanent economical collapse - gives the economical lessons to others.
  • A country, which has received the biggest economical help from EU and the best debt conditions - but keeps claiming that others are responsible of its problems.
  • A country with extreme socialist rhetoric - with one of the most un-equal societies in Europe.

Welcome to Greece !

Thursday, July 2, 2015

Staví, staví šibeničky

Na demostrace chodím velice zřídka, asi tak jednou za 20 let. Ale dokážu pochopit, že někdo cítí potřebu svůj názor, třeba na imigraci, vyjádřit na čerstvém vzduchu.

Ale trochu mi unikají myšlenkové pochody člověka, který si na takovou akci vyrobí malou šibenici.

Já si predstavuju, jak dopoledne manželce řekne "mámo, odpoledne deme na tu demošku, musíme si udělat nějakej pořádnej trasparent". Pak zajde do kůlny, vybere tam pár prkýnek, hrst hřebíků, starou prádelní šňůru a na zahradě začne stloukat šibenici. Na co při tom myslí ? To si představuje, jak na ní někoho věší ?

Monday, June 29, 2015

Why ISIS can win

Before 1917, nobody would guess that a group of the fanatical bolsheviks, armed with social ideology could win a civil war in a ruined Russia and install a brutal sadistic state for almost a century, controlling half of the planet and having organised supporters in almost all other states,...

What about ISIS before 2017 ?

The similarities are striking:
  • Both movements were using ideology, which is generally acceptable in its weak, moderate form. This gets them the support, or at least the tolerance from the wide population (and many intellectuals).
    • It was the social justice for the bolsheviks - who could be against it ?
    • It is islam for ISIS - the vast majority of muslims are completely peaceful, aren't they ? 
  • Both revolution were lead by the fanatical vanguard, ready to sacrifice themselves (and certainly to sacrifice others) for the final victory.
  • In both cases, the final victory was realized in a country after the bloody civil war, in the environment of chaos and desolation. People did prefer any power instead of general anarchy.
    • This was Russia after the Great War.
    • This is Middle East after unsuccessful interventions (Russia in Afghanistan, USA & comp in Iraq, France & comp in Libya), unsuccessful non-interventions (in Syria) and storm of civil wars and revolutions.
And those are not the only cases. One can find similarities in origins of almost all totalitarian regimes (unless they were planted from outside).

This is why ISIS can win and we may be living next one or two generations in a new Cold War. This time against the Islamic Empire in the Middle East and its local branches all over the world.

Sunday, June 28, 2015

Jonction












Greek Gift

To make several things clear:
  1. The origin of the Greek problem is in Greece, in its catastrophic government during last 30 years. Certainly, others has their part of the responsibility. They knew the situation, did not appropriately reacted and kept feeding money into Greece. But the main responsibility is on the shoulders of the successive Greek governments, elected in democratic election. The recent politics of IMF and EU has probably not helped to solve the situation, but they have been decided only after Greece has failed to execute adequate reforms itself. Mr.Tsipras should stop accusing everybody else and start the real reforms:
    • Is Greece still one of most non-egalitarianism state of Europe (as measured by GINI) ?
    • Has Greece still have one of the proportionally biggest army of the World ?
    • Is Orthodox Church still exonerated of the taxes ?
    • And shipbuilders ?
  2. Nobody has stolen the Greek money. The Greece has received the loan under better conditions that private investors (because states are considered less risky). Even after the catastrophy has become obvious, the Greek debt conditions have been kept better than for anybody else. Greek lenders suffer today as well as Greek people.
  3. It's not true that the erasure of the debt would be painless. In the end, someone will have to pay, directly on indirectly (for example by inflation). It's great to make a referendum about paying the debt. But other European countries then should hold similar referendum, if they accept that Greece will not paying them back their money. Such referendum would be especially interesting in countries, which have sanitized their states and economies after the crises and see today their economy awaking. Even more interesting would be the reaction of the former Russian colonies in the Central Europe, which have performed similar (liberal - what a horror !) reforms as are today proposed by IMF in the end of the last century with dramatically positive effect. And which have received far less European money that Greece.
  4. Of course everybody knows that Greece can't pay all its debts. But before the debt can be partially erased, the Greek economy should be reformed. Nobody wants to restart the same history as we are experiencing now. (By the way, IMF, so much hated by the current Greek government, is the only  one who proposes that; under the condition that Greece performs effective reforms.)

Spain




Valencia - City of Arts and Sciences